Letter: Wrong predictions | PostIndependent.com

Letter: Wrong predictions

While attending Glenwood Springs High School, I was taught by a science teacher who told the truth. The first thing he taught his students was that there are “scientific laws” and “scientific theories.” He explained that a scientific law is a true statement that is meant to describe an action such as the law of gravity or Newton’s law of motion. A scientific theory can be several hypotheses that are accepted to be true but have not been proven to be true.

So, if we look at predictions about a scientific theory that has been wrong 97.4 percent of the time, we can assume that the theory is probably wrong. If we think about why a group of well-educated scientists and so-called experts would make such stupid predictions, most would agree there is a reason, that reason is money, in this case government grants, etc.

Here are a few “predictions” that show how well-educated and so-called experts can be made to look ignorant.

1. In January 2006 Al Gore predicted that we had 10 years left before the planet turned into a “total frying pan.”

2. In 1970, ecologist Kenneth E.F. Watt predicted that “If present trends continue, the world will be about 4 degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but 11 degrees colder by the year 2000.

3. In March 2000, “senior research scientist” David Viner, for the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia, stated within “a few years,” snowfall would become “a very rare and exciting event.” “Children just aren’t going to know what snow is.”

4. Another “expert,” Adam Watson with the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, stated that the skiing industry in Scotland had less than two decades left to go. Yet in 2013, too much snow kept many Scottish resorts closed.

5. We have about five more years at the outside to do something.” Kenneth Watt, climate expert, Earth Day 1970.

6. In 2006, Al Gore stated we only had 10 years to save the Earth before it became uninhabitable.

Bottom line, if the prediction is wrong; the science is wrong.

Doug Meyers

Glenwood Springs